A framework for building a AI Forecasting Bot for Metaculus. Additionally AI Forecasting tools to help humans forecast the future.
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Updated
Sep 26, 2026 - Python
A framework for building a AI Forecasting Bot for Metaculus. Additionally AI Forecasting tools to help humans forecast the future.
Stdlib-only forecasting bot for the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournaments, plus the non-obvious API facts that cost a day to find
Build APIs, datasets, tools, and research for prediction markets, made for developers and AI agents
unofficial Discord bot for Metaculus https://www.metaculus.com/
Code to calculate the distribution of the possible number of detectable alien civilizations in our Galaxy using the Drake equation and Metaculus predictions.
The Oracle's Fingerprint: correlated AI forecasting errors and the limits of bias transmission — three studies on whether the wisdom of crowds survives consultation of GPT-4o, Claude, and Gemini
Chrome extension: hides Polymarket, Kalshi and Metaculus probabilities until you write down your own forecast; logs to Fatebook
Thirteen research-attributed forecasting skills for Claude — Brier scoring, calibration decomposition, logit pooling, Bayesian updating, reference classes, conditional trees. Every technique names its research and states its limits.
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